Riding profile
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne
The question
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne: will QS lose this seat to QLP?
Current forecast
QLP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 25.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| QLP | QS | PQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSaint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | 43.9% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 8.3% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 23.4% +20.5 | 9.6% +8.8 | 27.9% −9.7 | 16.1% −7.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 44% vote share, against 18% for Québec solidaire, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
Sits with QS
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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QS Incumbent
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard has been the MNA for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne since 2023 and an engaged voice for a progressive Quebec. A lawyer specializing in immigration and refugee law, he has devoted his career to defending people in highly vulnerable situations, notably in major human-rights cases. A lecturer at UQAM and former legal adviser to Amnesty International, he has extensive experience in social justice and inclusion. Today Québec solidaire’s parliamentary leader and responsible for several important files, he continues his work in the National Assembly to strengthen rights, public services and protection for the most vulnerable people.
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CAQ Challenger
Anthony Lavoie
Anthony is from the Terrebonne riding. He worked at the Coalition Avenir Québec campaign office, is also an entrepreneur, and is pursuing a bachelor's degree in creativity, innovation, and entrepreneurship at the University of Montreal.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Jean-Pierre Duford
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Laura Champagne
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger Edouard Stephan Valdescault
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PQ Challenger
Caroline-Julie Fortin
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QLP Challenger
Benoit Clermont
Benoit Clermont is a well-known executive and producer in Quebec’s media industry. As founder and president of Productions Déferlantes from 2015 to 2026, he contributed to the success of several flagship Quebec television shows, including Star Académie, La Voix, and Chanteurs masqués. His career combines legal expertise, entrepreneurial leadership, and in-depth knowledge of the cultural sector. Before founding Productions Déferlantes, he served as vice president of legal and commercial affairs at Productions J for nearly ten years, helping to develop numerous major media projects. Prior to that, he spent a decade practicing as an attorney specializing in intellectual property and media law at the law firm Ogilvy Renault (now Norton Rose Fulbright), where he developed extensive expertise in the legal and commercial issues facing the cultural industry. A resident of the Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne riding for more than 15 years, Benoit Clermont is well acquainted with the realities of his community. He has also been actively involved in the governance of Quebec’s cultural sector, serving on the boards of directors of several organizations, including the Association québécoise de la production médiatique, the École nationale de l’humour, and the Fondation de Bibliothèque et Archives nationales du Québec. He has also served as vice president of ADISQ and as a director of SOPROQ. A law graduate of the University of Montreal and a member of the Quebec Bar, he also holds an MBA from HEC Montreal and a diploma in advanced studies in communications law from the University of Paris II Panthéon-Assas.
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Anglade Elected | QLP | 11,728 | 36.1 | — |
| Guillaume Cliche-Rivard | QS | 8,992 | 27.7 | — |
| Nicolas Huard-Isabelle | CAQ | 5,751 | 17.7 | — |
| Julie Daubois | PQ | 2,683 | 8.3 | — |
| Mischa White | PCQ | 2,063 | 6.4 | — |
| Jean-Pierre Duford | Other | 620 | 1.9 | — |
| Janusz Kaczorowski | Other | 530 | 1.6 | — |
| Esther Gaudreault | Other | 73 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026