Riding profile

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · mtl

The question

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne: will QS lose this seat to PLQ?

Editorial read

Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 56% vote share, against 20% for Québec solidaire, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Guillaume Cliche-Rivard

Sits with QS

Since
2023-03-13
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Challenger
    Anthony Lavoie

    Anthony Lavoie

    Anthony is from the Terrebonne riding. He worked at the Coalition Avenir Québec campaign office, is also an entrepreneur, and is pursuing a bachelor's degree in creativity, innovation, and entrepreneurship at the University of Montreal.

    source ↗
  • PLQ Challenger
    Benoit Clermont

    Benoit Clermont

    source ↗

Current forecast

PLQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
36.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PLQ 56.0%
  • QS 19.6%
  • PQ 13.1%
  • PCQ 6.1%
  • Other 4.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PLQ QS PQ PCQ
HereSaint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 56.0%19.6%13.1%6.1%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.2% +28.8 8.3% +11.3 30.1% −17.0 13.2% −7.1

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
PLQ
Margin
8.4 pts
Turnout
57.8%
Margin shift vs current projection
+28.0 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Dominique Anglade Elected PLQ 11,728 36.1
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard QS 8,992 27.7
Nicolas Huard-Isabelle CAQ 5,751 17.7
Julie Daubois PQ 2,683 8.3
Mischa White PCQ 2,063 6.4
Jean-Pierre Duford Other 620 1.9
Janusz Kaczorowski Other 530 1.6
Esther Gaudreault Other 73 0.2
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026