Riding profile
Verdun
The question
Verdun: will QS lose this seat to PLQ?
Editorial read
Verdun, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with Québec solidaire in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 54% vote share, against 22% for Québec solidaire, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Alejandra Zaga Mendez
Sits with QS
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
PCQ Challenger 
Lucien Koty
Lucien Koty is a senior information technology consultant and has accumulated more than twenty years of experience in the field. Specialized in designing and governing large-scale information solutions, he has led numerous architecture projects in complex and regulated environments, both in the public and private sectors.
source ↗ -
PLQ Challenger 
Antoine Dionne Charest
source ↗
Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 31.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | QS | PQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVerdun | 53.5% | 22.4% | 15.2% | 4.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +26.3 | 8.3% +14.1 | 30.1% −14.9 | 13.2% −8.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandra Zaga Mendez Elected | QS | 9,562 | 30.8 | — |
| Isabelle Melançon | PLQ | 9,101 | 29.3 | — |
| Véronique Tremblay | CAQ | 7,150 | 23.0 | — |
| Claudia Valdivia | PQ | 2,591 | 8.3 | — |
| Lucien Koty | PCQ | 1,664 | 5.3 | — |
| Jannie Pellerin | Other | 542 | 1.7 | — |
| Scott Kilbride | Other | 301 | 1.0 | — |
| Marc-André Milette | Other | 65 | 0.2 | — |
| Alexandre Desmarais | Other | 61 | 0.2 | — |
| Fernand Deschamps | Other | 30 | 0.1 | — |
| Alain Rioux | Other | 26 | 0.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026