Riding profile

Pierre-Laporte

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · rest

The question

Pierre-Laporte: will Independent lose this seat to PLQ?

Editorial read

Pierre-Laporte, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 44% vote share, against 24% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Isabelle Poulet

Sits with Independent

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Challenger
    Mélanie Martin

    Mélanie Martin

    Mélanie Martin's commitment to youth is a long-term endeavor. Holding a bachelor's degree in education and a graduate diploma (DESS) in school administration, Mélanie Martin dedicated herself to music teaching for twenty years before becoming the deputy director at the Saint-Hyacinthe Centre de services scolaire.

    source ↗
  • PLQ Challenger

    David Bowles

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Anne-Sophie Maguire Armand

    Anne-Sophie Maguire Armand

    Over the past 20 years, Anne-Sophie has directed several educational institutions in the Montreal region. She has chosen politics today following a thorough reflection on the challenges our education network must meet.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PLQ

Safe

Probability
99%
Mean margin (pts)
20.5
P(close race)
4%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PLQ 44.5%
  • PQ 23.9%
  • CAQ 14.0%
  • PCQ 7.8%
  • QS 6.3%
  • Other 3.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PLQ PQ CAQ PCQ
HerePierre-Laporte 44.5%23.9%14.0%7.8%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.2% +17.3 30.1% −6.1 20.3% −6.3 13.2% −5.3

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
1.9 pts
Turnout
64.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
+18.6 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Isabelle Poulet Elected CAQ 10,361 30.8
Mathieu Gratton PLQ 9,707 28.8
Claude Lefrançois QS 5,968 17.7
Soledad Orihuela-Bouchard PQ 4,108 12.2
Evelyne Latreille PCQ 2,488 7.4
Jean-Philippe Charest Other 497 1.5
Herby Fremont Other 445 1.3
Ian Parent Other 113 0.3
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026