Riding profile
Pierre-Laporte
The question
Pierre-Laporte: will Independent lose this seat to PLQ?
Editorial read
Pierre-Laporte, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 44% vote share, against 24% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Isabelle Poulet
Sits with Independent
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Challenger
Mélanie Martin
Mélanie Martin's commitment to youth is a long-term endeavor. Holding a bachelor's degree in education and a graduate diploma (DESS) in school administration, Mélanie Martin dedicated herself to music teaching for twenty years before becoming the deputy director at the Saint-Hyacinthe Centre de services scolaire.
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PLQ Challenger
David Bowles
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PQ Challenger
Anne-Sophie Maguire Armand
Over the past 20 years, Anne-Sophie has directed several educational institutions in the Montreal region. She has chosen politics today following a thorough reflection on the challenges our education network must meet.
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Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 99%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.5
- P(close race)
- 4%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | PQ | CAQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePierre-Laporte | 44.5% | 23.9% | 14.0% | 7.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +17.3 | 30.1% −6.1 | 20.3% −6.3 | 13.2% −5.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Poulet Elected | CAQ | 10,361 | 30.8 | — |
| Mathieu Gratton | PLQ | 9,707 | 28.8 | — |
| Claude Lefrançois | QS | 5,968 | 17.7 | — |
| Soledad Orihuela-Bouchard | PQ | 4,108 | 12.2 | — |
| Evelyne Latreille | PCQ | 2,488 | 7.4 | — |
| Jean-Philippe Charest | Other | 497 | 1.5 | — |
| Herby Fremont | Other | 445 | 1.3 | — |
| Ian Parent | Other | 113 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026