Riding profile
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
The question
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
QS
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.3
- P(close race)
- 68%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| QS | PQ | QLP | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHochelaga-Maisonneuve | 38.9% | 34.5% | 15.6% | 5.1% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 9.6% +29.2 | 27.9% +6.6 | 23.4% −7.8 | 16.1% −11.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with Québec solidaire in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Québec solidaire ahead at 39% vote share, against 35% for the PQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Alexandre Leduc
Sits with QS
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- QS Incumbent
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Alexandre Leduc
In 2007, Alexandre Leduc settled in Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, where he built his life, developed his commitment and started a family. Over the past eight years at the National Assembly, he has not only tirelessly defended families and workers, but also raised a strong voice for the people in his riding. A community-based member present for citizens, Alexandre always listens to community organizations. He wants to continue working toward a simple goal: building a more caring, inclusive neighbourhood that listens to everyone’s realities.
source ↗ -
CAQ Challenger 
Béatrice Hodonou
Béatrice Hodonou is a manager in the health network and a clinical nurse by training. She holds a Master's degree in Public Administration from the École nationale d'administration publique (ENAP) and is pursuing a doctorate in Public Administration at ENAP, with an interest in user rights, informed consent for care, and access to public services.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Christine Dandenault
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Igor Sadikov
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger 
Elena Penta
Born in Romania and established in Canada since 1984, Elena built her career around education, knowledge transfer and community service. Trained at McGill University, the University of Montreal and UQAM, she dedicated her career to teaching, guided by the conviction that education is one of the most powerful levers to foster individual success and fulfillment.
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger 
Maude Brossard-Sabourin
Maude holds a master's degree in administration and has been Deputy General Director of the Social Economy Construction Site since 2020. She is a rigorous manager who served on several boards of directors during her career.
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger 
Janny Gaspard
With degrees in communications and politics from Université de Montréal, Janny Gaspard entered politics with the Quebec Liberal Party. She has worked in institutional, community and entrepreneurial settings, building projects for her community. A champion of equal opportunity, she founded Femme qui Fonce, which empowers women through mentoring, training and leadership development. She wants to advance social and economic innovation, family support, and access to education and training. × I commit to voting for Janny Gaspard as member for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Leduc Elected | QS | 12,784 | 50.8 | — |
| Rebecca McCann | CAQ | 4,728 | 18.8 | — |
| Stephan Fogaing | PQ | 4,015 | 16.0 | — |
| Line Flore Tchetmi | QLP | 1,957 | 7.8 | — |
| Louise Poudrier | PCQ | 1,161 | 4.6 | — |
| Wejden Chouchene | Other | 337 | 1.3 | — |
| James Strayer | Other | 84 | 0.3 | — |
| Christine Dandenault | Other | 78 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026