Riding profile
Anjou-Louis-Riel
The question
Anjou-Louis-Riel: will CAQ lose this seat to PLQ?
Editorial read
Anjou-Louis-Riel, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 62% vote share, against 23% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Karine Boivin Roy
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Incumbent 
Karine Boivin Roy
A trained lawyer, Karine stands out for her political engagement and passion for public service. Her 8 years of experience as a city councillor allowed her to sharpen her knowledge of the realities of current sector challenges.
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PCQ Challenger 
Helder da Costa Leitao
Father of two young boys and engaged resident of the riding, Helder Da Costa Leitao holds a degree in business administration from TÉLUQ and has accumulated over twenty years of experience in human resources management and planning. Throughout his career, he worked both in the private sector and within public organizations, developing solid expertise in management, organization, and administration.
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PQ Challenger 
Younès Dadoun
PhD candidate in administration at ENAP, Mr. Dadoun holds a master's degree in addiction intervention and in applied political studies from the University of Sherbrooke.
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Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 38.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | PQ | QS | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereAnjou-Louis-Riel | 62.0% | 23.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +34.9 | 30.1% −6.7 | 8.3% −1.1 | 13.2% −6.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Boivin Roy Elected | CAQ | 9,376 | 35.6 | — |
| Chantal Gagnon | PLQ | 8,045 | 30.5 | — |
| Laurence Pageau | QS | 3,893 | 14.8 | — |
| Yastene Adda | PQ | 2,910 | 11.0 | — |
| Genevieve Deneault | PCQ | 1,887 | 7.2 | — |
| Claude Gélinas | Other | 203 | 0.8 | — |
| Katy LeRougetel | Other | 49 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026