Riding profile
LaFontaine
The question
LaFontaine: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?
Current forecast
QLP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 45.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| QLP | PCQ | PQ | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLaFontaine | 60.5% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 23.4% +37.1 | 16.1% −0.7 | 27.9% −18.3 | 21.3% −12.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
LaFontaine, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 61% vote share, against 15% for the Quebec Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Marc Tanguay
Sits with QLP
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- QLP Incumbent
-
CAQ Challenger 
Guepsly Florvil
Holder of a bachelor's degree in communication, Guepsly Florvil is the founder and CEO of Égidéon Multiservices inc. An entrepreneur, manager, and passionate about soccer, his career combines communication, entrepreneurship, and engagement with young people and families. At the head of Égidéon Multiservices inc., he develops a diversified Quebec company focused on the needs of businesses and the creation of new economic opportunities. Throughout his career, he has founded and directed projects, led organizations, managed teams and budgets, and built numerous partnerships. These experiences have given him a concrete understanding of the challenges faced by entrepreneurs, workers, organizations, and families. Passionate about soccer, Guepsly has been a coach for over eight years and holds a C license. For him, soccer goes well beyond sport: it is a powerful tool for development, discipline, and integration. On the field, he mentors young people, engages with parents, and conveys the importance of respect, perseverance, confidence, and teamwork. He believes that politics must be close to the people, attentive to ground-level realities, and capable of producing concrete results. A candidate in LaFontaine, he wishes to put his experience as an entrepreneur, manager, and coach at the service of citizens, contribute to economic development, and offer young people and families better opportunities for the future.
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PCQ Challenger Andréanne Bareil
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PQ Challenger 
Joyd Rolkins Daréus
An occupational-therapy student at Université de Montréal, Joyd Rolkins Daréus was born in Haiti and grew attached to Quebec during adolescence. A Parti Québécois member since 2024, he chairs its LaFontaine executive and sits on youth and sovereignty executives. He wants to serve LaFontaine and one day vote in a Quebec independence referendum.
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QS Challenger _PETITE%20(1).webp)
Kim Fontaine
Kim Fontaine is an engaged project manager and communicator who uses her experience for a Quebec where the economy first meets people's needs. With more than 20 years in culture, education, and impact entrepreneurship, she knows how to mobilize teams and build lasting connections. She now wants to advance a political vision based on solidarity, ecology, and a fairer distribution of wealth in LaFontaine.
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Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Tanguay Elected | QLP | 13,398 | 51.7 | — |
| Loredana Bacchi | CAQ | 5,189 | 20.0 | — |
| Yassir Madih | PCQ | 3,406 | 13.1 | — |
| Anne B-Godbout | QS | 2,301 | 8.9 | — |
| Shawn Vermette-Tassoni | PQ | 1,322 | 5.1 | — |
| Quinn Brunet | Other | 313 | 1.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026