Riding profile
LaFontaine
The question
LaFontaine: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?
Editorial read
LaFontaine, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 71% vote share, against 13% for the Quebec Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Marc Tanguay
Sits with PLQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
PLQ Incumbent 
Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 58.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | PCQ | PQ | QS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLaFontaine | 71.5% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +44.3 | 13.2% −0.4 | 30.1% −23.5 | 8.3% −2.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Tanguay Elected | PLQ | 13,398 | 51.7 | — |
| Loredana Bacchi | CAQ | 5,189 | 20.0 | — |
| Yassir Madih | PCQ | 3,406 | 13.1 | — |
| Anne B-Godbout | QS | 2,301 | 8.9 | — |
| Shawn Vermette-Tassoni | PQ | 1,322 | 5.1 | — |
| Quinn Brunet | Other | 313 | 1.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026