Riding profile
Pointe-aux-Trembles
The question
Pointe-aux-Trembles: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Pointe-aux-Trembles, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 36% vote share, against 33% for the Quebec Liberals, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Chantal Rouleau
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Incumbent
Chantal Rouleau
A proud Pointelière, Chantal Rouleau is an upright woman who has the interests of Quebecers at heart. She made her mark in the field of environment before becoming a leading figure in the fight against corruption.
source ↗
Current forecast
PQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 97%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.4
- P(close race)
- 82%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | PLQ | QS | CAQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePointe-aux-Trembles | 36.3% | 33.0% | 12.6% | 10.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 30.1% +6.3 | 27.2% +5.9 | 8.3% +4.2 | 20.3% −9.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantal Rouleau Elected | CAQ | 12,156 | 45.9 | — |
| Jocelyn Desjardins | PQ | 5,265 | 19.9 | — |
| Simon Tremblay-Pepin | QS | 4,084 | 15.4 | — |
| Byanca Jeune | PLQ | 2,750 | 10.4 | — |
| Yves Beaulieu | PCQ | 1,804 | 6.8 | — |
| Alex Di Pardo | Other | 268 | 1.0 | — |
| Marc Michaud | Other | 82 | 0.3 | — |
| Geneviève Royer | Other | 53 | 0.2 | — |
| Louis Chandonnet | Other | 33 | 0.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026