Riding profile
Pointe-aux-Trembles
The question
Pointe-aux-Trembles: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?
Current forecast
PQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | QLP | CAQ | QS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePointe-aux-Trembles | 36.4% | 21.9% | 20.0% | 11.4% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.9% +8.5 | 23.4% −1.5 | 21.3% −1.2 | 9.6% +1.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Pointe-aux-Trembles, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 36% vote share, against 22% for the Quebec Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Chantal Rouleau
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
CAQ Incumbent
Chantal Rouleau
A proud Pointelière, Chantal Rouleau is an upright woman who has the interests of Quebecers at heart. She made her mark in the field of environment before becoming a leading figure in the fight against corruption.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Daniel Lasalle
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Geneviève Royer
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Maude Chapdelaine
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
Maxim Tremblay-Gaudet
Pointe-aux-Trembles resident, Maxim knows well the reality of workers and families in his community. Having started working at a young age in the construction sector, he quickly developed a sense of responsibility, effort and perseverance.
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger
Stéphane Paquet
After representing Quebec in London as its general delegate, Stéphane Paquet has been president and CEO of Montréal International since 2020, helping attract companies, talent, and international organizations to Greater Montreal. He was also editor-in-chief and deputy publisher of Les Affaires. His economic expertise, knowledge of Quebec and Montreal, and international network make him a strong ally for SMEs. He will help them meet challenges and develop export markets; he believes Montreal's universities, aerospace, life sciences, video games, special effects, cybersecurity, intelligence, and culture give it major global assets.
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Naima Indira Som
A 26-year-old insurance adviser, Naïma Marylène Indira Som is entering provincial politics to join the Quebec Liberal Party under Charles Milliard's leadership. A graduate of a bachelor's degree in political science from Université du Québec à Montréal (UQAM), the PLQ candidate in Pointe-aux-Trembles is currently pursuing a master's degree in the same discipline, specializing in international politics and international law. In her work as an insurance adviser, she supports people and families seeking to protect what matters most to them. Her experience in management and with children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) strengthened her sense of responsibility and solution-oriented mindset. A volunteer board member of a youth centre, Naïma Marylène Indira Som believes lasting change begins with civic engagement. Sensitive to the realities of families and young people, she advocates politics based on listening, integrity and rigour, and wants to help strengthen access to quality education and effective public services. × I commit to voting for Naima Indira Som as member for the riding of Pointe-aux-Trembles
source ↗ -
QS Challenger
Mégane Charron
Mégane Charron is from Montreal's East End. She wants to represent Québec solidaire in Pointe-aux-Trembles in order to bring citizens closer to where decisions are made. Having experienced homelessness in her youth, she knows the importance of a strong social safety net and believes the best policies are built with the people directly affected. A master's student in political science at UQAM, spokesperson for Auberge du cœur Le Foyer, and active in homelessness prevention, Mégane combines grassroots experience with political reflection. An intersectional feminist and member of the 2SLGBTQIA+ community, she advocates social housing, accessible public services, and a fairer, more solidaristic, and independent Quebec.
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantal Rouleau Elected | CAQ | 12,156 | 45.9 | — |
| Jocelyn Desjardins | PQ | 5,265 | 19.9 | — |
| Simon Tremblay-Pepin | QS | 4,084 | 15.4 | — |
| Byanca Jeune | QLP | 2,750 | 10.4 | — |
| Yves Beaulieu | PCQ | 1,804 | 6.8 | — |
| Alex Di Pardo | Other | 268 | 1.0 | — |
| Marc Michaud | Other | 82 | 0.3 | — |
| Geneviève Royer | Other | 53 | 0.2 | — |
| Louis Chandonnet | Other | 33 | 0.1 | — |
Around the region
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026