Riding profile

Camille-Laurin

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · mtl

The question

Camille-Laurin: a safe seat for the PQ?

Editorial read

Camille-Laurin, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the PQ in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 49% vote share, against 33% for the Quebec Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Sits with PQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Current forecast

PQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
16.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 48.8%
  • PLQ 32.5%
  • QS 11.0%
  • PCQ 4.8%
  • Other 2.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ PLQ QS PCQ
HereCamille-Laurin 48.8%32.5%11.0%4.8%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +18.7 27.2% +5.4 8.3% +2.7 13.2% −8.3

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
PQ
Margin
9.7 pts
Turnout
63.5%
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.5 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon Elected PQ 11,959 41.7
Richard Campeau CAQ 9,165 31.9
Christina Eyangos PLQ 4,724 16.5
Christos Karteris PCQ 1,869 6.5
Bourama Keita Other 641 2.2
Jean-Pierre Émond Other 241 0.8
Grace St-Gelais Other 49 0.2
Charles Mc Nicoll Other 42 0.1
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026