Riding profile
Rosemont
The question
Rosemont: will Independent lose this seat to PQ?
Editorial read
Rosemont, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with Québec solidaire in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 37% vote share, against 30% for the Quebec Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Vincent Marissal
Sits with Independent
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Challenger 
Nour Aliyah Attié
Nour Aliyah Attié was born in Côte d'Ivoire and immigrated to Canada in 2007, at the age of four. She grew up and lives today in the riding of Rosemont.
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PCQ Challenger 
Mildred Mathieu
Master's student in political science, Mildred chose to put her knowledge at the service of citizens and to get involved concretely in her community. Her engagement in the Montreal community allows her to listen to the realities faced by families, seniors, and the most vulnerable people.
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PLQ Challenger David Lavoie
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Current forecast
PQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.1
- P(close race)
- 12%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | PLQ | QS | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRosemont | 37.5% | 30.3% | 27.0% | 3.5% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 30.1% +7.4 | 27.2% +3.1 | 8.3% +18.7 | 13.2% −9.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Marissal Elected | QS | 13,311 | 37.6 | — |
| Sandra O'Connor | CAQ | 8,157 | 23.1 | — |
| Pierre-Luc Brillant | PQ | 7,527 | 21.3 | — |
| Sherlyne Duverneau | PLQ | 4,170 | 11.8 | — |
| Marie-France Lemay | PCQ | 1,605 | 4.5 | — |
| Jamie D'Souza | Other | 452 | 1.3 | — |
| Jean-François Racine | Other | 158 | 0.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026