Riding profile

Mille-Îles

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · mtl

The question

Mille-Îles: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?

Editorial read

Mille-Îles, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 61% vote share, against 18% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Virginie Dufour

Sits with PLQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • PLQ Incumbent
    Virginie Dufour

    Virginie Dufour

    source ↗
  • CAQ Challenger
    Sonia Amédomé

    Sonia Amédomé

    Serving the health network for 8 years, Sonia Amedome is a risk and quality of care and social services management consultant. Driven by the will to improve public services, she dedicates her career to developing concrete solutions that meet citizens' needs.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PLQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
43.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PLQ 61.4%
  • PQ 18.2%
  • QS 9.6%
  • PCQ 9.5%
  • Other 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PLQ PQ QS PCQ
HereMille-Îles 61.4%18.2%9.6%9.5%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.2% +34.3 30.1% −11.9 8.3% +1.3 13.2% −3.7

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
PLQ
Margin
1.5 pts
Turnout
66.9%
Margin shift vs current projection
+41.8 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Virginie Dufour Elected PLQ 9,522 32.4 —
Julie Séide CAQ 9,097 30.9 —
Guillaume Lajoie QS 3,789 12.9 —
Michel Lachance PQ 3,551 12.1 —
Ange Claude Bigilimana PCQ 3,105 10.6 —
Bianca Jitaru Other 346 1.2 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026