Riding profile
Terrebonne
The question
Terrebonne: a safe seat for the PQ?
Current forecast
PQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.1
- P(close race)
- 4%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | QLP | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereTerrebonne | 39.8% | 24.9% | 17.8% | 10.2% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.9% +11.9 | 21.3% +3.7 | 23.4% −5.6 | 16.1% −6.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Terrebonne, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 40% vote share, against 25% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Catherine Gentilcore
Sits with PQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
PQ Incumbent
Catherine Gentilcore
source ↗ -
CAQ Challenger
Valérie Doyon
Since 2021, Valérie Doyon has served as a municipal councillor and president of the municipal council of the City of Terrebonne. She is also president of the Board of Directors of the Lanaudière Elected Women's Network. With over 20 years of commitment to community service in both education and municipal governance, she holds a bachelor's degree in teaching for social and educational adaptation from the University of Sherbrooke and has a particular interest in issues related to education, health, and family.
source ↗ - Other Challenger
Benoit Beauchamp
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
Marianne Poirier
A resident of Terrebonne for more than ten years and mother of two children, Marianne has a career as human as it is atypical. Graduated in psychology and former plasterer, she developed an understanding of the realities lived by families, while cultivating a practical sense and great adaptability.
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Ange Claude Bigilimana
A resident of Terrebonne, Ange Claude Bigilimana joined the Quebec Liberal Party to seek the confidence of voters and represent the people of Terrebonne in the National Assembly. Married and father of three children, Mr. Bigilimana holds a bachelor's degree in electrical engineering and is a member of the Ordre des ingénieurs du Québec. His education and professional background give him a thorough understanding of the infrastructure challenges facing Quebec. Ange Claude Bigilimana was previously involved with the Conservative Party of Quebec. He first ran as a candidate in the 2022 election, then in the Terrebonne constituency in the 2025 by-election. He also served as interim president of the party. Today, the Quebec Liberal Party led by Charles Milliard is the political formation that best matches his political convictions and is the best vehicle to carry forward his ideas. His involvement extends beyond his political engagement, as he is active in the school community, within the Ordre des ingénieurs, and on several boards of directors, including that of the Réseau-ÉTS of the École de technologie supérieure. These commitments reflect his desire to contribute to his community, an engagement he now wishes to pursue by representing the citizens of Terrebonne in the National Assembly. Among his main priorities are support for families, the improvement of public services, particularly in health, education, and transportation, the protection of individual rights and freedoms for all, and the responsible management of public finances. As a father of three children, he also believes it is essential that Quebec create more wealth in order to sustainably fund quality public services, both for seniors and for the generations that will ensure their continuity. × I commit to voting for Ange Claude Bigilimana as member for the Terrebonne constituency
source ↗ -
QS Challenger
Ariane Drainville
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Fitzgibbon Elected | CAQ | 20,911 | 49.4 | — |
| Geneviève Couture | PQ | 7,986 | 18.9 | — |
| Nadia Poirier | QS | 5,352 | 12.7 | — |
| Lindsay Jean | QLP | 4,301 | 10.2 | — |
| Daniela Andreeva | PCQ | 3,357 | 7.9 | — |
| Nazar Tarpinian | Other | 308 | 0.7 | — |
| Marie-France Meloche | Other | 80 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026