Riding profile

Terrebonne

Provincial riding — QC · Suburban · rest

The question

Terrebonne: a safe seat for the PQ?

Editorial read

Terrebonne, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 43% vote share, against 27% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Catherine Gentilcore

Sits with PQ

Since
2025-03-17
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Challenger
    Valérie Doyon

    Valérie Doyon

    Since 2021, Valérie Doyon has served as a municipal councillor and president of the municipal council of the City of Terrebonne. She is also president of the Board of Directors of the Lanaudière Elected Women's Network. With over 20 years of commitment to community service in both education and municipal governance, she holds a bachelor's degree in teaching for social and educational adaptation from the University of Sherbrooke and has a particular interest in issues related to education, health, and family.

    source ↗
  • PCQ Challenger
    Marianne Poirier

    Marianne Poirier

    A resident of Terrebonne for more than ten years and mother of two children, Marianne has a career as human as it is atypical. Graduated in psychology and former plasterer, she developed an understanding of the realities lived by families, while cultivating a practical sense and great adaptability.

    source ↗
  • PLQ Challenger

    Ange Claude Bigilimana

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
15.3
P(close race)
2%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 42.6%
  • CAQ 26.8%
  • PLQ 17.5%
  • PCQ 6.6%
  • QS 5.6%
  • Other 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PLQ PCQ
HereTerrebonne 42.6%26.8%17.5%6.6%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +12.5 20.3% +6.5 27.2% −9.6 13.2% −6.6

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
30.6 pts
Turnout
71.2%
Margin shift vs current projection
-15.3 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Pierre Fitzgibbon Elected CAQ 20,911 49.4 —
Geneviève Couture PQ 7,986 18.9 —
Nadia Poirier QS 5,352 12.7 —
Lindsay Jean PLQ 4,301 10.2 —
Daniela Andreeva PCQ 3,357 7.9 —
Nazar Tarpinian Other 308 0.7 —
Marie-France Meloche Other 80 0.2 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026