Riding profile
Vimont-Auteuil
The question
Vimont-Auteuil: will CAQ lose this seat to QLP?
Current forecast
QLP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| QLP | CAQ | PQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVimont-Auteuil | 39.7% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 15.1% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 23.4% +16.3 | 21.3% −2.5 | 27.9% −9.3 | 16.1% −1.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Vimont-Auteuil, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 40% vote share, against 19% for the CAQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Valérie Schmaltz
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Incumbent 
Valérie Schmaltz
An action-oriented communications expert, Valérie is also distinguished by her keen analytical sense, great creativity, and interpersonal skills. Mother of three children and president of the Vimont Local Action Committee for the CAQ, Valérie aims to continue her commitment to the constituency's citizens as a Member of the National Assembly to serve as their voice within a CAQ government.
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PCQ Challenger 
Mackenley Raphael
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PQ Challenger 
Amin Ouazragh-Marchand
Amin is a young activist for the independence cause who recently obtained his law degree. He is now entering politics to serve the citizens and citizenesses of Laval, his hometown.
source ↗ - QLP Challenger
Louis Ialenti
An entrepreneur, lawyer, teacher and community leader, Louis Ialenti is entering provincial politics to join the Quebec Liberal Party. After studying business administration and law in Australia, he began his career as a criminal and commercial lawyer. This legal experience gave him a deep understanding of public institutions, justice and the economic issues facing citizens and entrepreneurs. Alongside his legal career, the PLQ candidate in Vimont-Auteuil has more than fifteen years of entrepreneurial experience in retail, hospitality and manufacturing. Founder and manager of several businesses, this experience gave him practical knowledge of challenges related to economic growth, workforce development and the vitality of local communities. Louis Ialenti also sits on the board of the Bishop's University Foundation and teaches business-government relations at university level. A multilingual citizen open to the world, Mr. Ialenti speaks French, English, Italian and Spanish fluently. Deeply attached to Quebec, where he chose to build his life, his international academic and professional experience allows him to bring a global perspective to Quebec provincial political issues. × I commit to voting for Louis Ialenti as member for the riding of Vimont-Auteuil
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QS Challenger _PETITE.webp)
Stella Bourgon-Germain
A Vimont resident for 14 years and former neighbourhood-table coordinator, Stella Bourgon-Germain advocates access to care and support for vulnerable people.
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Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valérie Schmaltz Elected | CAQ | 10,957 | 34.3 | — |
| Anabela Monteiro | QLP | 9,541 | 29.9 | — |
| Stefano Piscitelli | PCQ | 4,118 | 12.9 | — |
| Josée Bélanger | QS | 3,669 | 11.5 | — |
| Nathalie Lavigne | PQ | 3,379 | 10.6 | — |
| Rita Lo Cicero | Other | 301 | 0.9 | — |
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qc_2026