Riding profile

Chomedey

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · mtl

The question

Chomedey: will Independent lose this seat to QLP?

Current forecast

QLP

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
26.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • QLP 48.2%

    Madeleine Féquière

  • PCQ 21.6%

    Leon Der Stepanian

  • CAQ 12.3%

    Cattiouceca Ambroise

  • PQ 12.2%

    Marie-Jeanne Rivest

  • QS 3.6%

    Geru Schneider

  • Other 2.2%

    Sona Lakhoyan Olivier Indépendant(e) incumbent

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Drummond–Bois-FrancsCAQ60 %0.8 pt margin
  2. MaskinongéCAQ80 %1.0 pt margin
  3. Laviolette–Saint-MauricePQ86 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

QLP PCQ CAQ PQ
HereChomedey 48.2%21.6%12.3%12.2%
Provincial averageQuebec 23.4% +24.8 16.1% +5.4 21.3% −9.0 27.9% −15.7

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Chomedey, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 48% vote share, against 22% for the Quebec Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Sona Lakhoyan Olivier

Sits with Independent

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Other Incumbent

    Sona Lakhoyan Olivier

    source ↗
  • CAQ Challenger
    Cattiouceca Ambroise

    Cattiouceca Ambroise

    Cattiouceca Ambroise knows Chomedey well, where she grew up and developed her interest in public life. As a political assistant to the Vimont MNA, she accompanies citizens daily and contributes to advancing files that have a concrete impact on their quality of life.

    source ↗
  • PCQ Challenger
    Leon Der Stepanian

    Leon Der Stepanian

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Marie-Jeanne Rivest

    Marie-Jeanne Rivest

    Marie-Jeanne is a pharmacist and has lived in Laval for several years. During her career, she worked in various health organizations and centers, including the CIUSSS and CUSM.

    source ↗
  • QLP Challenger
    Madeleine Féquière

    Madeleine Féquière

    Madeleine Féquière was, until very recently, Consul General of Canada in Chicago, where she represented Canadian interests in the American Midwest. Prior to this appointment, she oversaw and supported global credit risk management at Domtar, where she deployed credit structures in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and the Middle East. A graduate of Concordia University, the PLQ candidate in Chomedey is a recognized expert in leadership, administration, risk management, and international trade. She has held senior management positions globally in several sectors of the economy, including agri-food, technology, software, telecommunications, pulp and paper, and personal care. A seasoned corporate director, Ms. Féquière has more than 25 years of involvement on boards of directors and committees of organizations in the cultural, health, education, and business sectors. She has notably served on the board of Investissement Québec, the board of the Université de Montréal, and the expert committee of the Canadian Centre for Purposeful Leadership. She holds a diploma from the Director Professional Development Program in Governance from the Rotman School of Management at the University of Toronto, the IAS.A designation from the Institute of Corporate Directors, a mini-MBA from the McGill Executive Institute, and a certificate in finance from HEC Montréal, obtained jointly with the Canadian Credit Institute. A sought-after speaker internationally, she is regularly invited to major conferences in her field and writes articles in specialized journals on global credit. Co-founder of the Excellence Québec initiative, she works on inclusion, diversity, equality, and accessibility by integrating promising young leaders into management, finance, and governance environments. She is a Member of the Order of Canada. × I commit to voting for Madeleine Féquière as member of the National Assembly in the riding of Chomedey

    source ↗
  • QS Challenger
    Geru Schneider

    Geru Schneider

    The son of Chilean political exiles and an activist for more than six years, Geru Schneider advocates ecological, emancipatory and solidarity-based politics.

    source ↗

Previous election · 2022

Won by
QLP
Margin
9.8 pts
Turnout
54.5%
Margin shift vs current projection
+16.8 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Sona Lakhoyan Olivier Elected QLP 11,895 36.5
George Platanitis CAQ 8,696 26.7
Konstantinos Merakos PCQ 6,467 19.9
Zachary Robert QS 2,570 7.9
Rachid Bandou PQ 2,343 7.2
Sahbi Nablia Other 311 0.9
Federica Gangai Other 290 0.9
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026