Riding profile
Saint-Laurent
The question
Saint-Laurent: will Independent lose this seat to PLQ?
Editorial read
Saint-Laurent, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 36-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 62% vote share, against 14% for the Quebec Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Marwah Rizqy
Sits with Independent
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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PCQ Challenger 
Barry Rolbin
Barry is a resident of Saint-Laurent who chose to engage in politics out of a desire to contribute concretely to the well-being of his community. Convincing himself that citizens deserve to be heard and represented with integrity, he wishes to put his energy at the service of families, workers, and all those who want to see their quality of life improve.
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger 
Pierre-Étienne Nantel
A history teacher for over fifteen years in a metropolitan school, our candidate knows well the issues and challenges of our education system. His first contact with Saint-Laurent dates back to his adolescence when he worked for the City.
source ↗
Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 48.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | PCQ | Other | PQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSaint-Laurent | 62.3% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +35.1 | 13.2% +0.5 | 2.0% +5.1 | 30.1% −23.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marwah Rizqy Elected | PLQ | 14,304 | 50.0 | — |
| Mélanie Gauthier | CAQ | 4,091 | 14.3 | — |
| Catherine St-Clair | PCQ | 3,973 | 13.9 | — |
| Gérard Briand | QS | 2,840 | 9.9 | — |
| Karl Dugal | PQ | 1,696 | 5.9 | — |
| Rizwan Muhammad Rajput | Other | 752 | 2.6 | — |
| Myrtis-Eirene Fossey | Other | 533 | 1.9 | — |
| Othmane Benzekri | Other | 439 | 1.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026