Riding profile

Acadie

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · mtl

The question

Acadie: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?

Editorial read

Acadie, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 59% vote share, against 12% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

André Albert Morin

Sits with PLQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • PLQ Challenger
    André A. Morin

    André A. Morin

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Pierrick Jasmin

    Pierrick Jasmin

    A teacher for nearly 17 years in several public schools in the Ahuntsic-Cartierville district, Pierrick is today the deputy principal of La Dauversière-Évangéline school in Montreal. Drawing on his years of experience, our candidate understands well the issues of the Quebec education system.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PLQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
46.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PLQ 59.0%
  • PQ 12.3%
  • QS 11.2%
  • PCQ 11.2%
  • Other 3.5%
  • CAQ 2.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PLQ PQ QS PCQ
HereAcadie 59.0%12.3%11.2%11.2%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.2% +31.9 30.1% −17.8 8.3% +2.9 13.2% −2.0

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
PLQ
Margin
25.1 pts
Turnout
53.5%
Margin shift vs current projection
+21.3 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
André A. Morin Elected PLQ 10,981 42.3
Elyse Lévesque QS 4,468 17.2
Rosmeri Otoya Celis CAQ 4,446 17.1
Stéphanie Gentile PCQ 2,955 11.4
Véronique Lecours PQ 2,565 9.9
Roula Al Nseir Other 569 2.2
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026