Riding profile

Acadie

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · mtl

The question

Acadie: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?

Current forecast

QLP

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
32.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • QLP 48.5%

    André A. Morin

  • PQ 16.6%

    Pierrick Jasmin

  • PCQ 13.7%

    Amine Difallah

  • QS 9.8%

    Marie-Laurence Nault

  • CAQ 8.9%

    Christian Gnali

  • Other 2.5%

    Roula Al-Nseir Canadian Party of Québec

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Drummond–Bois-FrancsCAQ60 %0.8 pt margin
  2. MaskinongéCAQ80 %1.0 pt margin
  3. Laviolette–Saint-MauricePQ86 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

QLP PQ PCQ QS
HereAcadie 48.5%16.6%13.7%9.8%
Provincial averageQuebec 23.4% +25.1 27.9% −11.3 16.1% −2.5 9.6% +0.2

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Acadie, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 49% vote share, against 17% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

André Albert Morin

Sits with QLP

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Challenger
    Christian Gnali

    Christian Gnali

    A teacher by profession, Christian Gnali holds a bachelor's degree in political science from the Université de Montréal, with a specialization in international relations. For over six years, he has been teaching at an elementary school in the Acadie riding, where he encounters families and young people from the community on a daily basis. Drawing on his field experience, he is well familiar with the realities and challenges faced by the citizens of Acadie. Convinced that public engagement is a lever for change, he has been actively involved with the Coalition for several years. Driven by the desire to contribute to a more prosperous, stronger and forward-looking Quebec, Christian Gnali wishes to put his experience, listening skills and sense of service to the benefit of the citizens of Acadie by seeking their trust in the upcoming provincial elections.

    source ↗
  • Other Challenger

    Roula Al-Nseir

    source ↗
  • PCQ Challenger
    Amine Difallah

    Amine Difallah

    The page you requested cannot be found. Try refining your search or use the navigation above to find the article. Quebec 2026 election: Éric Duhaime says, ‘2026 is the year of conservatives.’ He believes his party now represents ‘the hope that things will change in Quebec.’ Published yesterday at 7:33 p.m. ‘I have the feeling that 2026 is the year of conservatives,’ Éric Duhaime declared confidently on the first day of a campaign that polls forecast will be abundant for the Conservative Party of Quebec (PCQ). However, old controversies resurfaced and marred the launch of a race that, according to projections, should open the doors of the National Assembly to him on October 5. Protective glasses on his face and ‘steel caps’ on his feet, […] Éric Duhaime proposes a 59% tax cut for businesses. 365 Access the Comments section. Open full screen. Éric Duhaime promises to lower business taxes if he becomes Quebec’s premier. A conservative government led by Éric Duhaime would reduce business taxes by 59% during a first mandate. Mr. Duhaime made the announcement Wednesday with several candidates in front of Revenu Québec’s head office in the Capitale-Nationale. Amid a tariff war with the United States, the Conservative Party of Quebec (PCQ) proposes gradually reducing the corporate income-tax rate […] A PQ candidate supports the conservatives’ third-link project. 63 Access the Comments section. Open full screen. Conservative leader Éric Duhaime envisions a second bridge on Île d’Orléans to allow motorists from the South Shore to reach Quebec City. (Archive photo.) The Parti Québécois candidate in Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré, François Gariépy, supports Éric Duhaime’s proposed third highway link, which he hopes would cross Île d’Orléans. ‘This is probably the smartest proposal that has been made,’ Mr. Gariépy said emphatically last month on the radio station’s microphone. […]

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Pierrick Jasmin

    Pierrick Jasmin

    A teacher for nearly 17 years in several public schools in the Ahuntsic-Cartierville district, Pierrick is today the deputy principal of La Dauversière-Évangéline school in Montreal. Drawing on his years of experience, our candidate understands well the issues of the Quebec education system.

    source ↗
  • QLP Challenger
    André A. Morin

    André A. Morin

    André Albert Morin has the privilege of having grown up and studied in his riding for the first 25 years of his life. André attended primary school at École François de Laval, high school at École Ladauversière and CEGEP at Collège Bois-de-Boulogne. Later, André enrolled at the University of Ottawa to study law. He graduated with a degree in civil law. He then continued his studies at the Université de Montréal, where he earned a master's degree in criminal law. Finally, he earned a doctorate in comparative criminal law and legal history at the Université de Poitiers in France. André has had an academic career. He taught at the Universities of Ottawa and Montreal for 25 years. He is the author of a large number of articles on public and criminal law. As part of his professional career, André was a prosecutor for the Attorney General of Quebec for several years. He pleaded hundreds of cases, many of them before juries. He then obtained a research position with the Law Reform Commission of Canada, where he helped draft a federal code of criminal procedure. In 1989, he joined the ranks of the federal Department of Justice, in Ottawa, where he pleaded cases in several provinces in labor and disciplinary law for the RCMP. He then moved to the International Assistance Group, where he had the privilege of participating in bilateral negotiations concerning the implementation of criminal law treaties. He returned to Montreal to plead in all Quebec jurisdictions, in cases involving criminal prosecution, extradition, organized crime and anti-terrorism. He was Assistant Director and Assistant Deputy Attorney General of Public Prosecutions in Ottawa. He has been deeply involved in community work with the homeless. In recognition of his involvement, he received the Humanitarian Award from the Federal and Territorial Prosecution Services. Over the years, he has been active in the Quebec Bar and the Bar of Montreal. In recognition of his contribution, the Quebec Bar named him Emeritus Lawyer, and the Montreal Bar awarded him the Merit of the Bar of Montreal. André has always been sensitive to the needs of people on trial and victims of crime. He has also maintained positive ties with the judiciary. The stance taken by the current Minister of Justice, in addition to the exclusion of the federal government from several consultation tables in Quebec, motivated him to enter the political arena.

    source ↗
  • QS Challenger
    Marie-Laurence Nault

    Marie-Laurence Nault

    Marie-Laurence Nault is a recreation manager in a seniors' residence, where she works every day to improve residents' quality of life. She holds a bachelor's degree in literature, studied education, and has a varied professional background in management and event coordination. Deeply committed to social justice and defending vulnerable people's rights, she believes culture, solidarity, and collective action can help build a fairer society. She wants to put her experience, listening skills, and energy at the service of Acadie residents.

    source ↗

Previous election · 2022

Won by
QLP
Margin
25.1 pts
Turnout
53.5%
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.9 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
André A. Morin Elected QLP 10,981 42.3
Elyse Lévesque QS 4,468 17.2
Rosmeri Otoya Celis CAQ 4,446 17.1
Stéphanie Gentile PCQ 2,955 11.4
Véronique Lecours PQ 2,565 9.9
Roula Al Nseir Other 569 2.2
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026