Riding profile

Marquette

Provincial riding — QC · Urban · mtl

The question

Marquette: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?

Editorial read

Marquette, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 67% vote share, against 10% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Enrico Ciccone

Sits with PLQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • PLQ Incumbent
    Enrico Ciccone

    Enrico Ciccone

    source ↗
  • PCQ Challenger
    Richard Zilversmit

    Richard Zilversmit

    West Island resident, Richard has built his career around a sense of responsibility, community service and commitment to future generations. Former security manager, he dedicated a significant part of his life to protecting others and contributing to a safer environment.

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Guillaume De Palma-Demers

    Guillaume De Palma-Demers

    As a corporate transformation consultant, Guillaume has developed top-tier expertise in economics and optimization. He now wishes to join our team to help a potential Parti Québécois government deploy solutions to optimize the State.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PLQ

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
57.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PLQ 67.4%
  • PQ 9.8%
  • PCQ 9.1%
  • QS 7.5%
  • Other 3.8%
  • CAQ 2.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PLQ PQ PCQ QS
HereMarquette 67.4%9.8%9.1%7.5%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.2% +40.2 30.1% −20.3 13.2% −4.1 8.3% −0.8

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
PLQ
Margin
24.9 pts
Turnout
58.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
+32.5 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Enrico Ciccone Elected PLQ 12,255 46.7
Marc Baaklini CAQ 5,722 21.8
Jérémy Côté QS 2,956 11.3
Sam Nassr PCQ 2,395 9.1
Stéphane Richard PQ 2,114 8.1
Shameem Jauffur Other 682 2.6
Félix Vincent Ardea Other 100 0.4
Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026