Riding profile
Sainte-Rose
The question
Sainte-Rose: will CAQ lose this seat to PLQ?
Editorial read
Sainte-Rose, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 58% vote share, against 25% for the PQ, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Christopher Skeete
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
CAQ Incumbent 
Christopher Skeete
A lifelong resident of Laval, Christopher Skeete settled there to raise his children. With an MBA degree, he took on the challenge of entrepreneurship by creating a healthcare business after serving as a peace officer.
source ↗ -
PLQ Challenger 
Cécile Tremblay
source ↗
Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 32.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | PQ | PCQ | QS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSainte-Rose | 58.0% | 25.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +30.8 | 30.1% −4.9 | 13.2% −4.7 | 8.3% −1.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Skeete Elected | CAQ | 14,091 | 38.5 | — |
| Michel Trottier | PLQ | 8,778 | 24.0 | — |
| Karine Cliche | QS | 5,243 | 14.3 | — |
| Lyne Jubinville | PQ | 4,536 | 12.4 | — |
| Stéphanie Beauchamp | PCQ | 3,429 | 9.4 | — |
| Pierrette Kamning Nguendjong | Other | 304 | 0.8 | — |
| Simon Filiatrault | Other | 128 | 0.3 | — |
| Kevin Fortin | Other | 91 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026