Riding profile
Fabre
The question
Fabre: will CAQ lose this seat to PLQ?
Editorial read
Fabre, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 61% vote share, against 14% for the Quebec Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Alice Abou-Khalil
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
PQ Challenger 
Catherine Dansereau-Redhead
Catherine has been a teacher in school adaptation at an elementary school in the Centre de services scolaires de Laval for 12 years. She grew up in Laval and remained deeply attached to this community that saw her grow, where she still works today.
source ↗
Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 46.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | PCQ | PQ | QS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereFabre | 61.1% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 8.5% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +33.9 | 13.2% +1.3 | 30.1% −16.1 | 8.3% +0.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alice Abou-Khalil Elected | CAQ | 10,912 | 31.8 | — |
| Sonia Baudelot | PLQ | 10,606 | 30.9 | — |
| Stéphane Turmel | PCQ | 5,205 | 15.2 | — |
| Jessy Léger | QS | 3,820 | 11.1 | — |
| Catherine Dansereau-Redhead | PQ | 3,346 | 9.8 | — |
| Lynn Buchanan | Other | 418 | 1.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026