Riding profile
Marguerite-Bourgeoys
The question
Marguerite-Bourgeoys: a safe seat for the Quebec Liberals?
Editorial read
Marguerite-Bourgeoys, an urban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Quebec Liberals in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Quebec Liberals ahead at 65% vote share, against 11% for the Quebec Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Frédéric Beauchemin
Sits with PLQ
Current forecast
PLQ
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 54.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PLQ | PCQ | PQ | QS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMarguerite-Bourgeoys | 65.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.2% +37.8 | 13.2% −2.2 | 30.1% −21.9 | 8.3% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Beauchemin Elected | PLQ | 12,635 | 44.8 | — |
| Vicky Michaud | CAQ | 6,533 | 23.1 | — |
| Aleksa Drakul | PCQ | 3,103 | 11.0 | — |
| Angélique Soleil Lavoie | QS | 2,898 | 10.3 | — |
| Suzanne Tremblay | PQ | 1,966 | 7.0 | — |
| Keeton Clarke | Other | 549 | 1.9 | — |
| Carole Thériault | Other | 409 | 1.4 | — |
| Serge Bellemare | Other | 123 | 0.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026