Riding profile

Sanguinet

Provincial riding — QC · Suburban · rest

The question

Sanguinet: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Sanguinet, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 34% vote share, against 27% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Christine Fréchette

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • PLQ Challenger
    Pinou Thong

    Pinou Thong

    source ↗
  • PQ Challenger
    Alain Therrien

    Alain Therrien

    Alain is an experienced politician who previously wore our party's colours in Sanguinet from 2012 to 2018. He subsequently served as Member of Parliament and Parliamentary Leader of the Bloc Québécois from 2019 to 2025 in the same region.

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Toss-up

Probability
87%
Mean margin (pts)
6.4
P(close race)
42%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 33.6%
  • CAQ 26.7%
  • PLQ 21.0%
  • PCQ 10.6%
  • QS 6.8%
  • Other 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PLQ PCQ
HereSanguinet 33.6%26.7%21.0%10.6%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +3.5 20.3% +6.4 27.2% −6.1 13.2% −2.6

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
32.5 pts
Turnout
69.8%
Margin shift vs current projection
-26.0 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Christine Fréchette Elected CAQ 14,607 48.8 —
Daphnée Paquin-Auger PQ 4,882 16.3 —
Virginie Bernier QS 3,925 13.1 —
François Gibeault PCQ 3,164 10.6 —
Rodrigue Asatsop PLQ 2,952 9.9 —
Halimatou Bah Other 325 1.1 —
Martine Lajoie Other 58 0.2 —
Hélène Héroux Other 31 0.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026