Riding profile
Sanguinet
The question
Sanguinet: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
PQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 65%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.3
- P(close race)
- 65%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | QLP | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSanguinet | 30.9% | 28.7% | 17.4% | 14.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.9% +3.0 | 21.3% +7.5 | 23.4% −6.0 | 16.1% −1.4 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Sanguinet, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 31% vote share, against 29% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Christine Fréchette
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
CAQ Challenger
Jean Lacroix
A pioneer in the energy and environment sectors, Jean Lacroix has worked for over 20 years in various organizations dedicated to these fields. He has served as a board member, president, and founder, contributing to the creation of networks of expertise and technologies that foster innovation and value creation. He holds a bachelor's degree in natural resources, a master's degree in applied sciences (hydrology), and a graduate diploma in environmental management, giving him in-depth training in the environment and natural resource management. At the head of Réseau Environnement and the Association québécoise pour la maîtrise de l'énergie (AQME) for several years, he also founded Coop Carbone, an organization dedicated to the energy transition and the reduction of carbon emissions, as well as Québec'Eau and Traces Québec, two initiatives also focused on environmental issues. Currently President and CEO of Cintech Agroalimentaire, he has played, since 2020, a strategic role in the company's development and in establishing structures that enable Quebec's agri-food industry to access more efficiently the technologies and expertise it needs to grow.
source ↗ -
PCQ Challenger
Serge Benoit
source ↗ -
PQ Challenger
Alain Therrien
Alain is an experienced politician who previously wore our party's colours in Sanguinet from 2012 to 2018. He subsequently served as Member of Parliament and Parliamentary Leader of the Bloc Québécois from 2019 to 2025 in the same region.
source ↗ -
QLP Challenger
Pinou Thong
A member of the Quebec Bar since 2007, Pinou Thong has dedicated her career to serving Quebec institutions and the public interest. A committed jurist, she has worked for nearly twenty years within organizations whose mission is to protect the public, promote access to justice and strengthen confidence in institutions. More recently, as Director of Legal Affairs at the Bar of Montreal, she was involved in a number of issues relating to governance, institutional integrity and the fight against the illegal practice of law. Her career has also led her to participate in the modernization of organizational practices, and to work at the intersection of law, public policy and the social issues shaping today's Quebec. Prior to this, she worked for over fifteen years as a lawyer at Loto-Québec, where she was involved in strategic files with regulatory, operational and reputational dimensions. She has also worked for the Quebec Court of Appeal and for federal administrative tribunals in connection with the application of the Employment Insurance Act. Pinou Thong arrived in Quebec at a very young age, with a deep attachment to social justice, inspired by the journey of her Cambodian parents who fled a totalitarian regime. Highly involved in her community, she participates in various initiatives linked to education, inclusion and civic life. Active in the Sanguinet riding, she is particularly involved in her child's school and sports life, as well as in karate in her community. Drawing on her professional experience and civic commitment, she now wishes to put her expertise and energy at the service of the citizens of Sanguinet and actively contribute to the region's future.
source ↗ -
QS Challenger
Virginie Bernier
A tireless community-sector worker, Virginie Bernier knows the realities faced by families, vulnerable people, and the organizations holding communities together. Active in public transportation, housing, education, and accessibility for people with disabilities, she has outstanding grassroots experience. Her versatile profile is valuable to Québec solidaire, and she will bring Sanguinet a strong progressive voice in the National Assembly.
source ↗
Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Fréchette Elected | CAQ | 14,607 | 48.8 | — |
| Daphnée Paquin-Auger | PQ | 4,882 | 16.3 | — |
| Virginie Bernier | QS | 3,925 | 13.1 | — |
| François Gibeault | PCQ | 3,164 | 10.6 | — |
| Rodrigue Asatsop | QLP | 2,952 | 9.9 | — |
| Halimatou Bah | Other | 325 | 1.1 | — |
| Martine Lajoie | Other | 58 | 0.2 | — |
| Hélène Héroux | Other | 31 | 0.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026