Riding profile

LA-6

US House district — LA · Mixed · us la

The question

LA-6: will Democrat lose this seat to Republican?

Editorial read

LA-6, a mixed riding in LA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 41-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 62% vote share, against 38% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

FIELDS, CLEO

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Fields, Cleo

  • Republican Challenger

    Appeaning, Anjanita Monique

  • Republican Challenger

    Davis, Larry Mr. III

  • Republican Open seat

    Edmonds, Rick

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
23.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 62.0%
  • Democrat 38.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereLA-6 62.0%38.0%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +15.3 51.9% −13.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
40.5 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-16.6 pts

Redistricting impact

Where these voters came from

This district was redrawn under the 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting. Composition by inherited old-district share:

  • Congressional District 2 (22002) 34%
  • Congressional District 6 (22006) 25%
  • Congressional District 5 (22005) 18%
  • Congressional District 1 (22001) 14%
  • Congressional District 3 (22003) 10%
Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026