Louisiana’s 6th District
U.S. House · LA-6
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the Republicans a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 20%.
What Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Republican, with a 91% chance (91% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | Republican | 91% |
| Orbit | Republican | 91% |
| 50/50 blend | Republican | 91% |
Compared with the average
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| LA-6 | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| National averageUnited States | 43.9%+11.5 | 54.9%−10.3 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Fields, Cleo · Democrat
Who's running
The candidates
Candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Democrat Incumbent Fields, Cleo
General-election qualification remains to be verified.
- Democrat Challenger
Forbes, Patrick Wayne
General-election qualification remains to be verified.
-
Republican Challenger Appeaning, Anjanita Monique
General-election qualification remains to be verified.
- Republican Challenger
Davis, Larry Mr. III
General-election qualification remains to be verified.
- Republican Challenger
Wagley, Stephen
General-election qualification remains to be verified.
- Democrat Open seat
Garcia, Lindsay
General-election qualification remains to be verified.
- Republican Open seat
Edmonds, Rick
General-election qualification remains to be verified.
- Republican Open seat
Mebruer, Michael Edward
General-election qualification remains to be verified.
- Republican Open seat
Miguez, Blake
General-election qualification remains to be verified.
Previous election (2024)
The Democrats won by 40.5 points.
Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 11.5 points.
Where these voters came from
This district was redrawn in the 2025-2026 redistricting. Share of its voters from each former district:
- Former district 2 34%
- Former district 6 25%
- Former district 5 18%
- Former district 1 14%
- Former district 3 10%
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated