Riding profile
LA-6
The question
LA-6: will Democrat lose this seat to Republican?
Current forecast
Republican
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 18.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| HereLA-6 | 59.3% | 40.7% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +14.4 | 54.3% −13.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
LA-6, a mixed riding in LA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 41-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 59% vote share, against 41% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
FIELDS, CLEO
Sits with Democrat
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Democrat Incumbent Fields, Cleo
- Republican Challenger
Appeaning, Anjanita Monique
- Republican Challenger
Davis, Larry Mr. III
- Democrat Open seat
Garcia, Lindsay
- Republican Open seat
Edmonds, Rick
- Republican Open seat
Mebruer, Michael Edward
- Republican Open seat
Miguez, Blake
Previous election · 2024
Redistricting impact
Where these voters came from
This district was redrawn under the 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting. Composition by inherited old-district share:
- Congressional District 2
(22002)34% - Congressional District 6
(22006)25% - Congressional District 5
(22005)18% - Congressional District 1
(22001)14% - Congressional District 3
(22003)10%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026