Riding profile
NC-9
The question
NC-9: a safe seat for the Republicans?
Editorial read
NC-9, a mixed riding in NC, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 55% vote share, against 45% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
HUDSON, RICHARD L. JR.
Sits with Republican
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Republican Incumbent Hudson, Richard L. Jr.
-
Democrat Challenger Bristow, Nigel William
- Democrat Challenger
Ojeda, Richard N.
Current forecast
Republican
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.0
- P(close race)
- 1%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| HereNC-9 | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| National averageUnited States | 46.6% +8.3 | 51.9% −6.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · US HOUSE_2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026