Riding profile
OH-1
The question
OH-1: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.1
- P(close race)
- 8%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| HereOH-1 | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% −0.8 | 44.9% +1.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
District polls
Polls in this district
1 poll
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Pop. | Topline | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights | 21–Aug 24 | 509 | LV | link |
District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.
Editorial read
OH-1, a mixed riding in OH, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 54% vote share, against 46% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
LANDSMAN, GREG
Sits with Democrat
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Democrat Incumbent
Landsman, Greg
- Democrat Challenger
Lynch, Damon Iv
-
Republican Challenger Adams, Holly
- Republican Challenger
Conroy, Eric
- Republican Challenger
Erbeck, Steven
- Republican Challenger
Oglesby-Henry, Rosemary
Previous election · 2024
Redistricting impact
Where these voters came from
This district was redrawn under the 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting. Composition by inherited old-district share:
- Congressional District 1
(39001)52% - Congressional District 2
(39002)38% - Congressional District 8
(39008)9%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026