Riding profile

OH-2

US House district — OH · Mixed · us oh

The question

OH-2: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

OH-2, a mixed riding in OH, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 45-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 68% vote share, against 32% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

TAYLOR, DAVID

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Taylor, David

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
35.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 67.9%
  • Democrat 32.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereOH-2 67.9%32.1%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +21.3 51.9% −19.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
44.5 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-8.7 pts

Redistricting impact

Where these voters came from

This district was redrawn under the 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting. Composition by inherited old-district share:

  • Congressional District 2 (39002) 77%
  • Congressional District 12 (39012) 14%
  • Congressional District 6 (39006) 8%

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026