Riding profile

OR-2

US House district — OR · Mixed · us or

The question

OR-2: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

OR-2, a mixed riding in OR, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 63% vote share, against 36% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

BENTZ, CLIFF

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Bentz, Cliff

  • Democrat Challenger

    Beck, Chris

  • Democrat Challenger

    Doyle, Mary

  • Democrat Challenger

    Mueller, Rebecca Mckay

  • Democrat Challenger

    Rasmussen, Dawn

  • Democrat Challenger

    Snow, Patty

  • Republican Challenger

    Larson, Peter James

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
26.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 62.7%
  • Democrat 36.5%
  • Other 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat Other
HereOR-2 62.7%36.5%0.8%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +16.0 51.9% −15.4 5.4% −4.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
31.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-4.9 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026