Riding profile

OR-3

US House district — OR · Mixed · us or

The question

OR-3: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

OR-3, a mixed riding in OR, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 42-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 72% vote share, against 23% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

DEXTER, MAXINE

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Dexter, Maxine

  • Other Challenger

    Salas, Jessica

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
48.7
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 72.0%
  • Republican 23.4%
  • Other 4.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereOR-3 72.0%23.4%4.6%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +20.2 46.6% −23.3 5.4% −0.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
42.5 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.2 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026