Riding profile

OR-6

US House district — OR · Mixed · us or

The question

OR-6: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

OR-6, a mixed riding in OR, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 57% vote share, against 43% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

SALINAS, ANDREA

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Salinas, Andrea

  • Republican Challenger

    Russ, David Honorable

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
13.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 56.7%
  • Republican 43.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereOR-6 56.7%43.3%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +4.8 46.6% −3.4

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
6.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.6 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026