Winner
Donald S. Beyer, Jr. 67.1%
Riding profile
VA-8
The question
VA-8: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 58.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereVA-8 | 78.2% | 19.8% | 2.0% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% +23.9 | 44.9% −25.2 | 5.1% −3.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
VA-8, a mixed riding in VA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 47-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 78% vote share, against 20% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
BEYER, DONALD STERNOFF JR.
Sits with Democrat
Primary race
Primary results
Held Aug 4, 2026 · Official count — not yet certified
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Democrat Incumbent
Beyer, Donald Sternoff Jr.
- Other Challenger
Sharman, Tim
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026