Winner
Andrew Beck 100.0%
Riding profile
WI-5
The question
WI-5: a safe seat for the Republicans?
Current forecast
Republican
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 18.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| HereWI-5 | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +14.2 | 54.3% −13.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
WI-5, a mixed riding in WI, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 59% vote share, against 41% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
FITZGERALD, SCOTT
Sits with Republican
Primary race
Primary results
Held Aug 11, 2026 · Certified official result
Winner
Scott Fitzgerald 100.0%
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Republican Incumbent
Fitzgerald, Scott
-
Democrat Challenger Beck, Andrew
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026