Riding profile

WI-8

US House district — WI · Mixed · us wi

The question

WI-8: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

WI-8, a mixed riding in WI, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 55% vote share, against 45% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

WIED, TONY

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Wied, Tony

  • Democrat Challenger

    Crosson, Rick

  • Democrat Challenger

    Scheffler, Mark Christopher

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.7
P(close race)
2%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 54.8%
  • Democrat 45.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereWI-8 54.8%45.2%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +8.2 51.9% −6.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
14.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-5.0 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026