Winner
Rick Crosson 35.3%
Riding profile
WI-8
The question
WI-8: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Republican
Toss-up
- Probability
- 98%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.4
- P(close race)
- 63%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| HereWI-8 | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +7.3 | 54.3% −6.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
WI-8, a mixed riding in WI, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 52% vote share, against 48% for the Democrats, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
WIED, TONY
Sits with Republican
Primary race
Primary results
Held Aug 11, 2026 · Certified official result
Winner
Tony Wied 100.0%
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Republican Incumbent
Wied, Tony
-
Democrat Challenger Crosson, Rick
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026