Winner
Brad Smith 50.3%
Riding profile
WI-6
The question
WI-6: a safe seat for the Republicans?
Current forecast
Republican
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| HereWI-6 | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +11.7 | 54.3% −10.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
District polls
Polls in this district
4 polls
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Pop. | Topline | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavern Research Contours Inc. | 18–May 28 | 437 | LV | link | |
| Tavern Research Contours Inc. | 18–May 28 | 437 | LV | link | |
| Tavern Research Contours Inc. | 18–May 28 | 437 | LV | link | |
| Change Research Independent Candidates Action | 17–Mar 20 | 640 | LV | link |
District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.
Editorial read
WI-6, a mixed riding in WI, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 57% vote share, against 43% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
GROTHMAN, GLENN S.
Sits with Republican
Primary race
Primary results
Held Aug 11, 2026 · Certified official result
Winner
Glenn Grothman 100.0%
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Republican Incumbent
Grothman, Glenn S.
-
Democrat Challenger Smith, Bradley
- Other Challenger
Thurow, Michael
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026