Delta North

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the NDP a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.8 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 11%.

Live results

Results for Delta North will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

NDP 52.9%
Con 45.1%
CentreBC 2.1%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the NDP, with a 64% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	NDP	> 99%
Orbit	NDP	64%
50/50 blend	NDP	82%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	NDP	Con	CentreBC
Delta North	52.9%	45.1%	2.1%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	40.3%+12.6	47.0%−2.0	0.7%+1.4

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Ravi Kahlon · NDP

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The NDP won by 12.5 points, with 57.9% turnout.

Our current projection: the NDP ahead by 7.8 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Ravi Kahlon Elected	NDP	—	52.7
Raj Veauli	Con	—	40.2
Nick Dickinson-Wilde	GP	—	6.2
Manqoosh Khan	OTH	—	0.9

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Burnaby-New Westminster NDP, safe seat
Burnaby South-Metrotown Con, toss-up
Surrey North Con, safe seat
New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP, safe seat
Burnaby Centre NDP, toss-up
Surrey-Newton NDP, toss-up

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026