Burnaby-New Westminster

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the NDP a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 17.1 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Live results

Results for Burnaby-New Westminster will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

NDP 56.3%
Con 39.2%
GP 4.5%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the NDP, with a 92% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	NDP	> 99%
Orbit	NDP	92%
50/50 blend	NDP	96%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	NDP	Con	GP
Burnaby-New Westminster	56.3%	39.2%	4.5%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	40.3%+16.0	47.0%−7.8	10.3%−5.8

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Raj Chouhan · NDP

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The NDP won by 25.3 points, with 51.3% turnout.

Our current projection: the NDP ahead by 17.1 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Raj Chouhan Elected	NDP	—	60.0
Deepak Suri	Con	—	34.7
Daniel Kofi Ampong	OTH	—	5.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP, safe seat
Burnaby East NDP, toss-up
Burnaby South-Metrotown Con, toss-up
Burnaby Centre NDP, toss-up
Delta North NDP, safe seat
Surrey North Con, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026