Kelowna Centre

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Interior

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a 63% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.9 points.

Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 97%.

Live results

Results for Kelowna Centre will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Con 48.6%
NDP 47.9%
OneBC 3.6%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a 72% chance (63% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	Con	63%
Orbit	Con	72%
50/50 blend	Con	68%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	Con	NDP	OneBC
Kelowna Centre	48.6%	47.9%	3.6%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	47.0%+1.6	40.3%+7.6	1.3%+2.3

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Kristina Loewen · Con

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Conservatives won by 0.2 points, with 56.5% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 1.9 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Kristina Loewen Elected	Con	—	42.9
Loyal Wooldridge	NDP	—	42.7
Michael Humer	OTH	—	10.2
Bryce Tippe	GP	—	4.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Kelowna-Mission Con, safe seat
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream Con, safe seat
West Kelowna-Peachland Con, safe seat
Penticton-Summerland Con, toss-up
Vernon-Lumby Con, toss-up
Boundary-Similkameen Con, competitive

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026