West Kelowna-Peachland
Provincial riding · British Columbia · Interior
Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 35.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Results for West Kelowna-Peachland will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.
All British Columbia resultsWhat Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a > 99% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | Con | > 99% |
| Orbit | Con | > 99% |
| 50/50 blend | Con | > 99% |
Compared with the average
| Con | NDP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Kelowna-Peachland | 65.1% | 30.2% | 4.7% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.0%+18.1 | 40.3%−10.1 | 10.3%−5.6 |
Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Macklin McCall · Con
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 23.0 points, with 58.4% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 35.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin McCall Elected | Con | — | 50.9 |
| Krystal Smith | NDP | — | 27.9 |
| Stephen Johnston | OTH | — | 21.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Kelowna Centre Con, toss-up
- Penticton-Summerland Con, toss-up
- Boundary-Similkameen Con, competitive
- Kelowna-Mission Con, safe seat
- Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream Con, safe seat
- Vernon-Lumby Con, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated