Riding profile
Milton
The question
Milton: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Milton, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 6-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Ontario Liberals ahead at 46% vote share, against 44% for the PC Party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Hon. Zee Hamid
Sits with PC
Current forecast
OLP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 81%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.7
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| OLP | PC | NDP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMilton | 45.8% | 44.5% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 33.4% +12.4 | 40.2% +4.2 | 20.3% −13.9 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZEE HAMID Elected | PC | 20,091 | 47.4 | — |
| KRISTINA TESSER DERKSEN | OLP | 17,551 | 41.4 | — |
| KATHERINE-ANNE CIRLINCIONE | NDP | 2,403 | 5.7 | — |
| SUSAN DOYLE | GP | 1,130 | 2.7 | — |
| JOHN SPINA | OTH | 866 | 2.0 | — |
| MOHSIN RIZVI | OTH | 316 | 0.8 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029