Riding profile
Brampton South
The question
Brampton South: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Editorial read
Brampton South, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 20-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 50% vote share, against 37% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hon. Prabmeet Singh Sarkaria
Sits with PC
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrampton South | 49.6% | 36.9% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.2% +9.3 | 33.4% +3.5 | 20.3% −11.3 | 3.9% −1.4 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRABMEET SINGH SARKARIA Elected | PC | 15,379 | 52.5 | — |
| BHAVIK PARIKH | OLP | 9,530 | 32.5 | — |
| RAJNI SHARMA | NDP | 2,413 | 8.2 | — |
| JOHNNY NOLAN | OTH | 1,042 | 3.6 | — |
| RAJINDER BOYAL | GP | 911 | 3.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029