Riding profile
Brampton North
The question
Brampton North: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Editorial read
Brampton North, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 27-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 54% vote share, against 35% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hon. Graham McGregor
Sits with PC
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 19.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrampton North | 54.4% | 34.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.2% +14.2 | 33.4% +1.2 | 20.3% −11.5 | 3.9% −2.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRAHAM MCGREGOR Elected | PC | 17,597 | 57.5 | — |
| RANJIT SINGH BAGGA | OLP | 9,270 | 30.3 | — |
| RUBY ZAMAN | NDP | 2,479 | 8.1 | — |
| SAMEERA FALCON KHAN | GP | 746 | 2.4 | — |
| MELANIE PORTE | OTH | 499 | 1.6 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029