Riding profile
Mississauga—Malton
The question
Mississauga—Malton: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Mississauga—Malton, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 48% vote share, against 43% for the Ontario Liberals, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Deepak Anand
Sits with PC
Current forecast
PC
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.9
- P(close race)
- 55%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMississauga—Malton | 47.9% | 43.0% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.2% +7.6 | 33.4% +9.6 | 20.3% −12.8 | 3.9% −2.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEEPAK ANAND Elected | PC | 15,117 | 50.9 | — |
| JAWAD HAROON | OLP | 11,499 | 38.8 | — |
| GERARD MCDONALD | NDP | 2,000 | 6.7 | — |
| ARISH ESMAIL | GP | 561 | 1.9 | — |
| VAN NGUYEN | OTH | 498 | 1.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029