Riding profile

Brampton Centre

Provincial riding — ON · Suburban · on 905

The question

Brampton Centre: a safe seat for the PC Party?

Editorial read

Brampton Centre, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 18-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 49% vote share, against 38% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Hon. Charmaine A. Williams

Sits with PC

Parliament
44th

Current forecast

PC

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
10.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PC 48.8%
  • OLP 38.2%
  • NDP 9.5%
  • GP 3.1%
  • OTH 0.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PC OLP NDP GP
HereBrampton Centre 48.8%38.2%9.5%3.1%
Provincial averageOntario 40.2% +8.6 33.4% +4.8 20.3% −10.8 3.9% −0.9

Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · ON 2025

Won by
PC
Margin
17.9 pts
Turnout
36.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
-7.3 pts

Detailed result · ON 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
CHARMAINE WILLIAMS Elected PC 12,776 51.9 —
MARTIN MEDEIROS OLP 8,357 33.9 —
SUKHAMRIT SINGH NDP 2,161 8.8 —
PAULINE THORNHAM GP 910 3.7 —
KAMAL PREET KAUR OTH 434 1.8 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
on_2029