Riding profile
Brampton East
The question
Brampton East: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 16.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrampton East | 49.6% | 33.2% | 11.0% | 5.3% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.4% +8.2 | 32.3% +0.9 | 19.5% −8.6 | 4.0% +1.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Brampton East, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 50% vote share, against 33% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hardeep Singh Grewal
Sits with PC
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HARDEEP GREWAL Elected | PC | 14,759 | 51.8 | — |
| VICKY DHILLON | OLP | 8,511 | 29.9 | — |
| MARTIN SINGH | NDP | 3,104 | 10.9 | — |
| AZAD GOYAT | IND | 1,376 | 4.8 | — |
| NANCY PORTEOUS | GP | 757 | 2.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029