Riding profile
Brampton East
The question
Brampton East: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Editorial read
Brampton East, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 49% vote share, against 34% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hardeep Singh Grewal
Sits with PC
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrampton East | 48.8% | 34.2% | 11.6% | 3.4% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.2% +8.6 | 33.4% +0.8 | 20.3% −8.6 | 2.2% +1.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HARDEEP GREWAL Elected | PC | 14,759 | 51.8 | — |
| VICKY DHILLON | OLP | 8,511 | 29.9 | — |
| MARTIN SINGH | NDP | 3,104 | 10.9 | — |
| AZAD GOYAT | IND | 1,376 | 4.8 | — |
| NANCY PORTEOUS | GP | 757 | 2.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029