Riding profile
Vaughan—Woodbridge
The question
Vaughan—Woodbridge: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 32.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVaughan—Woodbridge | 62.8% | 29.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.4% +21.3 | 32.3% −2.4 | 19.5% −15.3 | 4.0% −1.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Vaughan—Woodbridge, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 39-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 63% vote share, against 30% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hon. Michael A. Tibollo
Sits with PC
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICHAEL TIBOLLO Elected | PC | 23,243 | 65.1 | — |
| HAMZA ANSARI | OLP | 9,482 | 26.6 | — |
| ELIF GENC | NDP | 1,479 | 4.1 | — |
| PHILIP PILURIS | GP | 628 | 1.8 | — |
| PASQUALE CHIARIZIA | OTH | 509 | 1.4 | — |
| MARIO GRECO | OTH | 345 | 1.0 | — |
Around the region
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029