Riding profile
Vaughan—Woodbridge
The question
Vaughan—Woodbridge: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Editorial read
Vaughan—Woodbridge, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 39-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 62% vote share, against 31% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hon. Michael A. Tibollo
Sits with PC
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 31.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVaughan—Woodbridge | 62.2% | 30.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.2% +21.9 | 33.4% −2.5 | 20.3% −15.4 | 3.9% −2.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICHAEL TIBOLLO Elected | PC | 23,243 | 65.1 | — |
| HAMZA ANSARI | OLP | 9,482 | 26.6 | — |
| ELIF GENC | NDP | 1,479 | 4.1 | — |
| PHILIP PILURIS | GP | 628 | 1.8 | — |
| PASQUALE CHIARIZIA | OTH | 509 | 1.4 | — |
| MARIO GRECO | OTH | 345 | 1.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029