Riding profile
Mississauga—Lakeshore
The question
Mississauga—Lakeshore: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Mississauga—Lakeshore, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Ontario Liberals ahead at 48% vote share, against 44% for the PC Party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Rudy Cuzzetto
Sits with PC
Current forecast
OLP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 98%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.5
- P(close race)
- 84%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| OLP | PC | NDP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMississauga—Lakeshore | 47.9% | 44.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 33.4% +14.6 | 40.2% +4.2 | 20.3% −15.0 | 3.9% −2.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RUDY CUZZETTO Elected | PC | 20,586 | 47.5 | — |
| ELIZABETH MENDES | OLP | 18,915 | 43.7 | — |
| SPENCER YANG KI | NDP | 1,974 | 4.6 | — |
| JULIA BUDAHAZY | GP | 1,041 | 2.4 | — |
| RENATA CYNARSKA | OTH | 549 | 1.3 | — |
| AYOUB BUMBIA | IND | 123 | 0.3 | — |
| OLEKSII AVDEIEV | OTH | 113 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029