Riding profile
Mississauga East—Cooksville
The question
Mississauga East—Cooksville: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Mississauga East—Cooksville, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Ontario Liberals ahead at 47% vote share, against 43% for the PC Party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Silvia Gualtieri
Sits with PC
Current forecast
OLP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 99%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.0
- P(close race)
- 73%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| OLP | PC | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMississauga East—Cooksville | 47.4% | 43.5% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 33.4% +14.1 | 40.2% +3.2 | 20.3% −14.4 | 2.2% −0.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SILVIA GUALTIERI Elected | PC | 16,764 | 46.4 | — |
| BONNIE CROMBIE | OLP | 15,554 | 43.1 | — |
| ALEX VENUTO | NDP | 1,879 | 5.2 | — |
| DAVID ZENI | GP | 744 | 2.1 | — |
| KEVIN PECK | OTH | 429 | 1.2 | — |
| SYED HUSSAIN | IND | 223 | 0.6 | — |
| MARK DE PELHAM | IND | 205 | 0.6 | — |
| VITTORIA TRICHILO | OTH | 192 | 0.5 | — |
| OLEKSANDRA IAKOVLIEVA | OTH | 118 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029