Riding profile
Mississauga East—Cooksville
The question
Mississauga East—Cooksville: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
OLP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 88%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.1
- P(close race)
- 98%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| OLP | PC | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMississauga East—Cooksville | 46.2% | 44.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 32.3% +14.0 | 41.4% +2.9 | 19.5% −14.2 | 4.0% −0.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Mississauga East—Cooksville, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Ontario Liberals ahead at 46% vote share, against 44% for the PC Party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Silvia Gualtieri
Sits with PC
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SILVIA GUALTIERI Elected | PC | 16,764 | 46.4 | — |
| BONNIE CROMBIE | OLP | 15,554 | 43.1 | — |
| ALEX VENUTO | NDP | 1,879 | 5.2 | — |
| DAVID ZENI | GP | 744 | 2.1 | — |
| KEVIN PECK | OTH | 429 | 1.2 | — |
| SYED HUSSAIN | IND | 223 | 0.6 | — |
| MARK DE PELHAM | IND | 205 | 0.6 | — |
| VITTORIA TRICHILO | OTH | 192 | 0.5 | — |
| OLEKSANDRA IAKOVLIEVA | OTH | 118 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029