Riding profile

Mississauga—Streetsville

Provincial riding — ON · Suburban · on 905

The question

Mississauga—Streetsville: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Mississauga—Streetsville, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Ontario Liberals ahead at 47% vote share, against 45% for the PC Party, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Hon. Nina Tangri

Sits with PC

Parliament
44th

Current forecast

OLP

Toss-up

Probability
95%
Mean margin (pts)
2.8
P(close race)
93%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • OLP 47.4%
  • PC 44.6%
  • NDP 5.7%
  • GP 1.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

OLP PC NDP GP
HereMississauga—Streetsville 47.4%44.6%5.7%1.9%
Provincial averageOntario 33.4% +14.0 40.2% +4.4 20.3% −14.5 3.9% −2.0

Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · ON 2025

Won by
PC
Margin
4.5 pts
Turnout
44.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
-1.7 pts

Detailed result · ON 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
NINA TANGRI Elected PC 19,118 47.7
JILL PROMOLI OLP 17,297 43.2
SHOAIB KHAWAR NDP 2,012 5.0
CHRIS HILL GP 1,012 2.5
DARRYL BROTHERS OTH 630 1.6
Last model run
Cycle
on_2029