Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

Brampton West

Provincial riding · Ontario · Greater Toronto (905)

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.4 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PC 53.6%
  • OLP 34.2%
  • NDP 7.3%
  • OTH 3.3%
  • GP 1.7%

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

Compared with the average

PC OLP NDP OTH
Brampton West 53.6%34.2%7.3%3.3%
Provincial averageOntario 40.6%+13.1 30.7%+3.5 20.8%−13.6 4.3%−1.1

Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Amarjot Sandhu · PC

44th Parliament.

Previous election (2025)

The PC Party won by 24.1 points, with 34.8% turnout.

Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 19.4 points.

Candidates and votes in 2025

Candidate Party Votes %
Amarjot Sandhu Elected PC 19,028 56.6
Andrew Kania OLP 10,933 32.5
Samuel Sarjeant NDP 1,981 5.9
Ethan Russell GP 877 2.6
David Pardy OTH 554 1.7
Pushpek Sidhu IND 260 0.8

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Mississauga—StreetsvillePC53%1.5-point gap
  2. OakvilleOLP61%1.6-point gap
  3. Mississauga—LakeshoreOLP61%1.6-point gap
Forecast updated