Riding profile
Brampton West
The question
Brampton West: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Editorial read
Brampton West, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 54% vote share, against 37% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Amarjot Sandhu
Sits with PC
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 16.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrampton West | 53.6% | 36.8% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.2% +13.4 | 33.4% +3.4 | 20.3% −13.7 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMARJOT SANDHU Elected | PC | 19,028 | 56.6 | — |
| ANDREW KANIA | OLP | 10,933 | 32.5 | — |
| SAMUEL SARJEANT | NDP | 1,981 | 5.9 | — |
| ETHAN RUSSELL | GP | 877 | 2.6 | — |
| DAVID PARDY | OTH | 554 | 1.6 | — |
| PUSHPEK SIDHU | IND | 260 | 0.8 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029