Quebec general election · October 5, 2026
Quebec election 2026 results: the PQ forms a minority government
From the moment polls close at 8 p.m. on October 5, this page carries the live count across all 127 ridings: votes, polls reporting, seats, and our race calls the moment they are safe enough to publish. It updates on its own: the time of every call, who forms the government, and the gap with our forecast.
Connecting to the official count…
Map of all 127 ridings
Pre-election projection. The map switches to the live count at 8 p.m.
- PQ
- QLP
- PCQ
- CAQ
- QS
Tap a square for details.
When do we call a winner?
Being ahead in the count is not enough. We only call a winner when nothing left to count can change the result in that riding.
- Called
The lead can no longer be overtaken with the polls still to count: the riding is called and changes colour.
- Too close
When it comes down to a few hundred votes, we wait. Better late than wrong.
- Two models
A call goes out only when our two independent models both judge it safe for the same party; otherwise a person decides. When in doubt, we wait.
Our record: 11 correct calls out of 12 in recent elections. See all our calls
Our pre-election forecast
The seats our model gave each party on the eve of the vote, to compare with the result above.
Majority: 64 seats
- Parti Quebecois 62
- Quebec Liberals 38
- Conservatives of Quebec 18
- Quebec Solidaire 6
- CAQ 3
Projection of October 4, 2026 · Open the full forecast
The races that will be decided late
The eight ridings with the thinnest projected margin. These are the last to be called, and often the ones that decide the majority.
- Papineau PQ 4.3 pt · projected margin
- Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques CAQ 4.7 pt · projected margin
- Maurice-Richard PQ 4.9 pt · projected margin
- Granby CAQ 5.1 pt · projected margin
- Brome-Missisquoi PQ 5.1 pt · projected margin
- Champlain PCQ 5.1 pt · projected margin
- Daniel-Johnson PCQ 5.3 pt · projected margin
- Bellefeuille CAQ 5.3 pt · projected margin
In the meantime
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All 127 ridings
Projection, sitting member, declared candidates and trajectory, one page per riding.
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Every poll
Every Quebec poll published since 2022, with its firm, field dates and weight in the model.
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The simulator
Move the vote and watch all 127 ridings react, without confusing your scenario with our projection.
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The methodology
How the model goes from polls to seats, and what it does not claim to know.
Official count source: Élections Québec. Projections, decision thresholds and calls belong to Vote-Scope; Élections Québec makes and supplies no calls.
Comprend des données ouvertes octroyées sous la licence d’utilisation des données ouvertes du directeur général des élections disponible à l’adresse Web dgeq.org. L’octroi de la licence n’implique aucune approbation par le directeur général des élections de l’utilisation des données ouvertes qui en est faite. (Contains open data licensed under the Chief Electoral Officer’s open data licence, available at dgeq.org; the licence implies no endorsement of how the data is used.)