Riding profile
Bellefeuille
The question
Bellefeuille: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
CAQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 71%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.6
- P(close race)
- 61%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| CAQ | PQ | PCQ | QLP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBellefeuille | 31.0% | 28.0% | 16.3% | 15.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 21.3% +9.8 | 27.9% +0.1 | 16.1% +0.2 | 23.4% −7.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Bellefeuille, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the CAQ ahead at 31% vote share, against 28% for the PQ, and the race could swing. This riding is composed of fragments of the former Argenteuil (41 %), Mirabel (35 %) and Saint-Jérôme (24 %).
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- CAQ Challenger
Rachel Renaud
A human-resources manager with more than 15 years of experience, Rachel Renaud is recognized for mobilizing teams and building consensus.
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PCQ Challenger 
Pier-Luc Chayer
Professional in finance and strategic management, Pier-Luc Chayer has built his career around rigor, analysis, and the search for concrete solutions. Certified Public Accountant (CPA), he has always been interested in issues that directly touch on the quality of life of Quebec families.
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PQ Challenger 
Audrey Bujold
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QLP Challenger 
Maud Laporte-Roy
Holder of a bachelor's degree in communication and politics and a master's degree in communication from the Université de Montréal, Maud Laporte-Roy has held several positions in various departments of the federal public service. Maud knows the Laurentides because she grew up there, and she knows the governmental apparatus because she served in it for eleven years. Her background, her sense of service and her listening skills will make her a strong voice for Bellefeuille at the Assemblée nationale. × I commit to voting for Maud Laporte-Roy as member for the constituency of Bellefeuille
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QS Challenger 
Normand Lalonde
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Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agnès Grondin Elected | CAQ | 14,725 | 45.1 | — |
| François Girard | PQ | 5,291 | 16.2 | — |
| Karim Elayoubi | PCQ | 4,807 | 14.7 | — |
| Marcel Lachaine | QS | 3,523 | 10.8 | — |
| Philippe LeBel | QLP | 3,325 | 10.2 | — |
| Jean Lalonde | Other | 436 | 1.3 | — |
| Luis Alvarez | Other | 429 | 1.3 | — |
| Marie-Eve Milot | Other | 113 | 0.3 | — |
| Sylvie D'Amours Elected | CAQ | 21,639 | 50.1 | — |
| Carole Savoie | PQ | 7,246 | 16.8 | — |
| Marjolaine Goudreau | QS | 6,222 | 14.4 | — |
| Gala Durand | PCQ | 4,936 | 11.4 | — |
| Isabella Giosi | QLP | 2,918 | 6.8 | — |
| Pierre Larouche | Other | 159 | 0.4 | — |
| Rémi Lavoie | Other | 64 | 0.1 | — |
| Youri Chassin Elected | CAQ | 20,527 | 50.0 | — |
| Sandrine Michon | PQ | 7,727 | 18.8 | — |
| Marc-Olivier Neveu | QS | 6,411 | 15.6 | — |
| Maxime Clermont | PCQ | 3,998 | 9.7 | — |
| Martin Plante | QLP | 1,858 | 4.5 | — |
| Marcella Bustamante | Other | 517 | 1.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026