Riding profile
Bellefeuille
The question
Bellefeuille: a safe seat for the CAQ?
Editorial read
Bellefeuille, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the CAQ ahead at 39% vote share, against 30% for the PQ, and the riding remains competitive. This riding is composed of fragments of the former Argenteuil (41 %), Mirabel (35 %) and Saint-Jérôme (24 %).
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
PCQ Challenger 
Pier-Luc Chayer
Professional in finance and strategic management, Pier-Luc Chayer has built his career around rigor, analysis, and the search for concrete solutions. Certified Public Accountant (CPA), he has always been interested in issues that directly touch on the quality of life of Quebec families.
source ↗
Current forecast
CAQ
Competitive
- Probability
- 97%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.0
- P(close race)
- 21%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| CAQ | PQ | PLQ | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBellefeuille | 39.0% | 30.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 20.3% +18.7 | 30.1% −0.1 | 27.2% −14.3 | 13.2% −1.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · QC 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agnès Grondin Elected | CAQ | 14,725 | 45.1 | — |
| François Girard | PQ | 5,291 | 16.2 | — |
| Karim Elayoubi | PCQ | 4,807 | 14.7 | — |
| Marcel Lachaine | QS | 3,523 | 10.8 | — |
| Philippe LeBel | PLQ | 3,325 | 10.2 | — |
| Jean Lalonde | Other | 436 | 1.3 | — |
| Luis Alvarez | Other | 429 | 1.3 | — |
| Marie-Eve Milot | Other | 113 | 0.3 | — |
| Sylvie D'Amours Elected | CAQ | 21,639 | 50.1 | — |
| Carole Savoie | PQ | 7,246 | 16.8 | — |
| Marjolaine Goudreau | QS | 6,222 | 14.4 | — |
| Gala Durand | PCQ | 4,936 | 11.4 | — |
| Isabella Giosi | PLQ | 2,918 | 6.8 | — |
| Pierre Larouche | Other | 159 | 0.4 | — |
| Rémi Lavoie | Other | 64 | 0.1 | — |
| Youri Chassin Elected | CAQ | 20,527 | 50.0 | — |
| Sandrine Michon | PQ | 7,727 | 18.8 | — |
| Marc-Olivier Neveu | QS | 6,411 | 15.6 | — |
| Maxime Clermont | PCQ | 3,998 | 9.7 | — |
| Martin Plante | PLQ | 1,858 | 4.5 | — |
| Marcella Bustamante | Other | 517 | 1.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026