Riding profile

Les Plaines

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · rest

The question

Les Plaines: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Les Plaines, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 34-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 36% vote share, against 32% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Lucie Lecours

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Challenger
    Fatou Diop

    Fatou Diop

    Resident of the La Plaine sector for nine years, Fatou Diop is deeply rooted in her community. Recognized for her commitment to creating a more inclusive and united society, she has among other things set up the Cheta Foundation, which dedicates itself to supporting vulnerable populations, and co-founded the Black Community Grouping of Lanaudière.

    source ↗
  • PLQ Challenger

    Agathe Owona

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Toss-up

Probability
76%
Mean margin (pts)
4.8
P(close race)
59%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 35.9%
  • CAQ 32.4%
  • PLQ 13.8%
  • PCQ 11.3%
  • QS 5.8%
  • Other 0.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PLQ PCQ
HereLes Plaines 35.9%32.4%13.8%11.3%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +5.8 20.3% +12.1 27.2% −13.3 13.2% −1.9

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
34.3 pts
Turnout
67.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
-29.5 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Lucie Lecours Elected CAQ 13,922 50.5 —
Normand Ouellette PQ 4,444 16.1 —
Richard Jr Leblanc QS 3,668 13.3 —
Ian Lavallée PCQ 3,333 12.1 —
Elizabeth Stavrakakis PLQ 1,895 6.9 —
Mohamed Benmoumene Other 282 1.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026