Riding profile
Deux-Montagnes
The question
Deux-Montagnes: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
PQ
Toss-up
- Probability
- 81%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.5
- P(close race)
- 51%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PQ | CAQ | QLP | PCQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDeux-Montagnes | 32.1% | 27.1% | 18.4% | 13.1% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.9% +4.2 | 21.3% +5.8 | 23.4% −5.0 | 16.1% −3.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Deux-Montagnes, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 32% vote share, against 27% for the CAQ, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Benoit Charette
Sits with CAQ
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
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CAQ Challenger
Christine Maestracci
An experienced manager recognized for her impactful leadership and ability to mobilize people, Christine Maestracci now works as a strategy consultant for various organizations. She notably served as president and chief executive officer of the Quebec Film and Television Office, after holding the position of vice-president, acquisitions and international distribution, at Québecor Contenu. She has more than 20 years of experience in entertainment, technology and digital media. A passionate defender of local talent and Quebec creativity, both in Quebec and internationally, Christine Maestracci was appointed in 2024 secretary general of the Working Group on the Future of Audiovisual Media in Quebec, a mandate entrusted to her by Quebec’s Minister of Culture and Communications. A member of the Quebec Bar, she holds a bachelor’s degree in law from the Université de Montréal. She has also completed training in leadership and governance and is currently pursuing further development in this field in order to obtain a corporate director certification from the Institute of Corporate Directors. Sensitive to several social issues, she has, for example, volunteered in the fields of culture, women’s professional advancement and perinatal health.
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PCQ Challenger Samuel Levesque
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PQ Challenger
Linda Vaillant
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QLP Challenger
Marc Allaire
A native of Lanaudière, Marc Allaire has dedicated his life to education, community involvement, and serving others. A high school science teacher since 1997, he firmly believes that every citizen deserves quality public services and a government that listens to their concerns. For nearly 30 years, he has been helping students in Laval and the Lower Laurentians succeed in school. Active in his community, he has been involved for more than 15 years in his local teachers’ union, where he has held various positions. He has also contributed to the development of school sports by founding two soccer programs in the Laval–Laurentides–Lanaudière region and serving as a coach. A passionate lover of travel, culture, and photography, he has explored more than a hundred countries on every continent. In fact, it was his travel experiences that fostered his openness to the world and his desire to connect with people. It was in 2022, during the provincial elections, that he entered politics by running as a candidate for the Quebec Liberal Party in the Deux-Montagnes riding. Inspired by the meetings and conversations he had with residents throughout that first campaign, Marc Allaire is proud to renew his commitment in 2026.
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QS Challenger
Guillaume Ducharme
From an early age, Guillaume Ducharme became involved in his community by founding the Jeunes souverainistes de Deux-Montagnes and serving on the board of the Centre du Florès. With more than 15 years of experience in the health and social-services network, he wants to place these major issues at the heart of his campaign. A direct witness to problems accessing services, particularly for marginalized populations, Guillaume believes that the Québec solidaire project and its values are the way forward to repair our public services and build a fairer, more inclusive country.
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Previous election · 2022
Detailed result · QC 2022
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benoît Charette Elected | CAQ | 15,854 | 47.1 | — |
| Guillaume Lalonde | PQ | 5,777 | 17.2 | — |
| Olivier Côté | QS | 4,766 | 14.2 | — |
| Marc Allaire | QLP | 3,460 | 10.3 | — |
| Isabelle Baril | PCQ | 3,308 | 9.8 | — |
| Amavi Tagodoe | Other | 317 | 0.9 | — |
| Hélèna Courteau | Other | 119 | 0.3 | — |
| Dominique Dubois-Massey | Other | 74 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
qc_2026