Riding profile

Deux-Montagnes

Provincial riding — QC · Mixed · rest

The question

Deux-Montagnes: will CAQ lose this seat to PQ?

Editorial read

Deux-Montagnes, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the CAQ in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PQ ahead at 36% vote share, against 27% for the CAQ, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Benoit Charette

Sits with CAQ

Since
2022-10-03
Parliament
43th

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • CAQ Incumbent
    Benoit Charette

    Benoit Charette

    Elected as MNA for Deux-Montagnes in 2008, then re-elected in 2014 and 2018, Benoit Charette is Minister of Environment and Climate Change Action, as well as Minister responsible for the Fight against Racism and Minister responsible for the Laval region. This graduate of the National School of Public Administration is recognized for his international engagement, after notably working as a volunteer in Haiti.

    source ↗
  • PLQ Challenger
    Marc Allaire

    Marc Allaire

    source ↗

Current forecast

PQ

Competitive

Probability
95%
Mean margin (pts)
8.7
P(close race)
23%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PQ 36.3%
  • CAQ 26.9%
  • PLQ 20.0%
  • PCQ 9.6%
  • QS 5.8%
  • Other 1.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PQ CAQ PLQ PCQ
HereDeux-Montagnes 36.3%26.9%20.0%9.6%
Provincial averageQuebec 30.1% +6.3 20.3% +6.6 27.2% −7.2 13.2% −3.6

Provincial averages computed across the 127 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · QC 2022

Won by
CAQ
Margin
29.9 pts
Turnout
69.5%
Margin shift vs current projection
-21.2 pts

Detailed result · QC 2022

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Benoît Charette Elected CAQ 15,854 47.1 —
Guillaume Lalonde PQ 5,777 17.2 —
Olivier Côté QS 4,766 14.2 —
Marc Allaire PLQ 3,460 10.3 —
Isabelle Baril PCQ 3,308 9.8 —
Amavi Tagodoe Other 317 0.9 —
Hélèna Courteau Other 119 0.3 —
Dominique Dubois-Massey Other 74 0.2 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
qc_2026